monte carlo cost projections // UK MOT failure data // 4.9M test records
┌─ How it works ────────────────────────────────────────┐
[1] Select vehicle make, model, year, mileage, asking price
[2] Monte Carlo simulation runs 10,000 failure scenarios
[3] Get repair cost projections, market valuation, and buy/avoid verdict
┌─ Example output ────────────────────────────────────────┐
┌──────────────┬──────────┐ │ Best case │ £89 │ │ Most likely │ £405 │ │ Worst case │ £1,247 │ └──────────────┴──────────┘ COMPONENT RISKS Ball joints [████████░░░░░░░░░░░░] 40% Coil springs [██████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░] 28% Brake pads [█████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░] 24% Timing chain [███░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░] 14% ████ BUY ████ Low expected repair costs. Reliable choice.
┌─ Data sources ────────────────────────────────────────┐
> DVSA MOT bulk test results (2023)
> 4,895,971 test records across 15 vehicle models
> 11,670,620 failure items analysed
> Real failure rates by component and mileage